01:00 PM. NEW TOWN . The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue with the new "Inflation Reduction Act." Galen Druke talks to Nicole Hemmer about her new book, "Partisans: The Conservative Revolutionaries Who Remade American Politics in the 1990s.". The crew debates whether a poll asking Americans which animals they could take on is a fight is a "good or bad use of polling." Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". Listeners wanted to know what to make of the NYC mayoral race, whether primary races tell us anything about the midterm elections, what voting system is the best, the likelihood of filibuster reform and, of course, whether or not hot dogs can be considered sandwiches. It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. The Supreme Court Not So Much. Finally, they analyze why Bidens approval rating has increased by nearly five points since late July. During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years. Zach and ESPN's Michael Schwartz break down the red-hot Suns ahead of their showdown with the Warriors, then ESPN's Dave McMenamin checks in on the Lakers -- plus . Galen and Nate open the mailbag to answer listeners questions about politics, polling and more. They consider how much preelection polling can tell us about the state of the country and what other sources we might rely on. The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. The crew discusses the arguments Biden laid out and where he stands with American voters two years into his presidency. The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. They also take a look at whether the Republican Party is conducting a post-mortem after its recent electoral losses. ( Businessweek) On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. In this installment, civil and environmental engineer Daniel Cohan joins FiveThirtyEight's Sarah Frostenson, Maggie Koerth and Galen Druke to discuss why the blackouts occurred, where responsibility lies and how politics responds to these kinds of crises. 3 min read. James Acton is a physicist and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Our tool analyzes your audio using Google voice recognition. They also ask whether a recent poll that suggested about 15 percent of Americans believe in the QAnon conspiracy theory is a "good or bad use of polling.". The results are mixed in terms of which factions of both parties performed well and the marquee Republican Senate primary race in Pennsylvania is still close to call and could remain that way for days. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. r/fivethirtyeight. In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of his likely 2024 reelection bid. I'm Galen Truk. They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the countrys broader political environment in a Midterm election year. The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. During a punchy episode of FiveThirtyEight's now daily politics podcast on Wednesday, Silver pushed back forcefully on anyone out there accusing him or his website of getting the 2020 election. 0:00:00 The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. MAJORITY 255 REP SEATS 240 225 225 240 255 DEM SEATS 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win Republicans win 16 in 100 16 in 100 . They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. Will Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024? Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. So, the usual. FiveThirtyEight contributor Laura Bronner shares what the data can tell us about the ideological direction of the court with the addition of Justice Amy Coney Barrett. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. What does it take to make democracy work? FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News (US) Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. All. Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. Nate and Galen discuss the latest twists in the midterms and answer listener questions in this installment of "Model Talk." Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless', Politics Podcast: How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear, Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine. FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Tuesday night's primary elections.Website: http:. Release date: 24 June 2015 Show more Galen speaks with reporter Kaleigh Rogers about how candidates who denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election did in the midterms and what the future of election denialism looks like. And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. . Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. By May 21, 2021 0 . The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. They also consider whether a new poll showing that America's reputation has rebounded abroad is a good or bad use of polling. OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn But some Republicans are still jockeying for position to be the next leader of the party, the most prominent of which may be Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. In this installment, Jennifer Merolla, a Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside, and Hannah Hartig, a research associate at Pew Research Center reflect on the political climate in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and whether a similar American consensus is possible today. Above, storm clouds over downtown Laramie, Wyo., on Aug. 13, 2022. If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. The crew discusses why some Republican candidates are changing their tune about the legitimacy of the 2020 election depending on the situation. The crew debates whether a recent Gallup poll showing that more Americans identify with the GOP than the Democratic Party is a "good or bad use of polling." And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom. Transcripts by Erin Wade. Thee also tracks the latest voting restrictions being considered by Georgia Republicans, including a proposal to end early voting on Sundays, which is when Black churches traditionally mobilize voters through "souls to the polls" events. 10 Wednesday AM Reads. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. As the House Select Committee for Jan. 6 publishes its final report, the crew considers what the committee's impact has been on American politics and former President Donald Trump's standing with voters. Thanks! Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. 9 days ago. The crew also looks at changes the Democratic Party is hoping to make to the 2024 presidential primary calendar. All rights reserved. @Nate_Cohn: The Democrats are putting up an impressive showing in VA-4, the first special congressional election of the cycle. The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. In Kim Barker's memory, the city of Laramie . We hear about the decade-long relationship between the two of them, one that dates back to the Kennedys arrival in Washington in the mid-50s, and hear fascinating observations these women make about each other. A year later, Trump still appears to be the de facto leader of the party. Transcript for What if America had a lot more political parties? Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. Labor Day traditionally marks the time when general election campaigning truly ramps up summer vacation is over, TV ads flood the airways and pollsters switch their models from registered voters to likely voters. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what he's learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. The data behind that evolution is striking. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . This is the second episode. PODCAST-19 brings you the latest evidence on the COVID-19 pandemic. As the 2022 primaries begin in earnest and potential presidential candidates look ahead to 2024, the fight over the future of the political right is underway. MANAGER'S SALARY. The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. The board of directors voted Friday to accept the resignation of David Held, effective June 1, and will then offer him the same job on . We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. Most recently, he ran and hosted 30 for 30 Podcasts, part of ESPN Films. And what does Florida's new voting law tell us about the GOP's efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the party's larger motivations? The crew talks about the appeal of celebrity candidates and what it tells us about our politics. Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America.
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